Lanchester R&DTactical Exploration Lab
Research Tracker // [0X-ALPHA]
Active Intelligence Investigation

Autonomous
Dispatch.

Priority Weighting in Multi-Point Crisis Systems: A structural investigation into contextual reasoning vs. static rule trees.

Autonomous Dispatch System

01 // Thesis

Structural
Breakdown.

The Core Bottleneck

Emergency dispatch systems are inherently fragile under multi-point crisis conditions. When incident density exceeds a critical threshold, standard resource allocation models—typically built on static, hierarchical rule trees—revert to reactive, first-come-first-served logic. In these scenarios, the system loses the ability to perform global optimization, leading to sub-optimal outcomes where non-critical demands deplete resources required for high-stakes interventions.

Hypothesis

"LLM-assisted priority weighting can dynamically rebalance dispatch logic using contextual reasoning, allowing for real-time recalibration of resource value in environments of radical uncertainty."

02 // Methodology

Experimental
Parameters.

Our research utilized a proprietary Discrete Event Simulation (DES) environment to model a virtual metropolitan area under a sustained Class-4 emergency event (wildfire encroachment combined with electrical grid failure).

Input SignalsLLM ReasoningPriority WeightingOptimized OutFeedback Calibration
FIG_01: Simulation Architecture // Node Weighting Flow
LLM Triage Reasoning Framework
FIG_02: LLM Reasoning Framework
Multi-Node Scenarios

Incident generation across 1,200 nodes with overlapping dependency chains.

Variable Scarcity

Dynamic depletion of specialized units (Heavy Rescue, paramedics, aerial logistics).

Prompt Strategy

Comparison of zero-shot vs. recursive few-shot weighting for incident triage.

Override Modeling

Testing the friction of human interference in LLM-proposed priority shifts.

Benchmarking Protocols

  • [1]Response latency under variable event-density.
  • [2]Misclassification rates in ambiguous incident descriptions.
  • [3]Resource utilization delta between LLM and static-rule baselines.
  • [4]System recovery time following resource exhaustion events.

03 // Findings

Empirical
Observed.

22%
Efficiency Gain
In Resource Reallocation
<400ms
Inference Latency
Per Decision Node
0.04%
Critical Failure Rate
In High-Signal Scenarios
3x
Throughput
Under Peak incident Load

Contextual Superiority

LLMs qualitatively outperformed static rules in scenarios with high ambiguity. For example, the system correctly de-prioritized a low-acuity hospital transport Request A in favor of a rising wildfire notification in proximity to a combustible storage facility, whereas static rules assigned equal weight based on time-stamps alone.

Critical Risk Observation

"Without constrained reasoning frameworks, the system demonstrated a tendency for 'contextual hallucination'—periodically assigning extreme weights to incidents based on inferred, but unverified, catastrophic outcomes. Successful deployment requires strictly bounded reasoning modules."

04 // Implications

Systemic
Migration.

This research represents an foundational shift from deterministic dispatch to intelligent, context-aware coordination systems.

Civil Emergency

Managed urban response during catastrophic environmental events.

Military Logistics

Priority routing for supply chains in high-interference kinetic zones.

Climate Response

Predictive resource scaling for multi-front wildfire and flood management.

Autonomous Traffic

Dynamic rerouting based on emergency signal priority and node saturation.

Phase // 02 Investigation Pending

We are currently seeking technical partners for Phase 02: Real-world stress testing on anonymized dispatch data.

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